I have a slightly different question about pricing, but certainly don't want to start ANOTHER pricing thread, so I'll ask opinion here...
I don't believe the manufacturers will (or can) roll back pricing on NIB releases. I think we'll see some of the smaller ones fail before that happens. So, assuming that NIB pricing remains ~$7k for entry models and $9-10k for better models...what happens to pricing of past machines. How much of a 'price gap' will there be between the "latest and ?greatest?" and past models. Will they all keep going lower and lower as more and more pins flood the market?
I'm sorta thinking for good condition / fully working pins:
Stern LCD's: least desirable bottom out ~60% of NIB: ~$4200 (Mando, TMNT)
WPC's: least desirable bottom out at ~40% of NIB: $2800 (Gilligans, Popeye, JD, DM)
Other DMD's: least desirable bottom out at 30% of NIB: $2100 (Sharkey's, HRC, RCT, LW, Hook)
Alpha-numerics: least desirable bottom out at 25% of NIB: $1750
I won't venture a guess on other SS's or EM's
Does this sound about right? Or will the current crop of players/enthusiasts/collectors actually see the value in these older games and their values will migrate closer to NIB pricing.
I picked up a pretty decent Sharkey's for $2300 last year that had a few minor repairable issues. It's a good game with more in the BOM than most new releases. In terms of game substance, there's no way that a NIB pro LCD/code/theme is really worth 3x's...but that's what the market is. So will these 'lesser' titles catch up to NIB...or will they become less and less memorable/desirable despite the value of their BOM/features and continue dropping?